Archive for December, 2009

Variance, Option Value, and Technological Choice

Wednesday, December 2nd, 2009

An important insight is that if you own a real option, variance helps you: If the price had been $28.09/MWh constant, you would have earned $10.8 million and you would never have shut down or reopened the plant. But because the price was highly variable around $28.09/MWh, you would have earned $28.6 million. It is [...]